Robert F Kennedy Jr withdrew from the ballot in Arizona late yesterday, a day before he and Donald Trump were set to appear miles apart in the Phoenix area as speculation grows that Kennedy could drop his independent presidential bid and endorse the Republican nominee.
Kennedy is scheduled to speak at 2pm (local time) in Phoenix “about the present historical moment and his path forward”, according to his campaign.
Hours later, Trump will hold a rally in neighbouring Glendale.
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Trump, campaigning yesterday in southern Arizona at the US-Mexico border, said that “no plans have been made” for Kennedy to appear with him today.
But he noted they would be in the same city at the same time.
Yesterday evening, Trump’s campaign made an unusual announcement, teasing that he would be joined by “a special guest” at his Glendale event.
Hours later when he called into Fox News Channel after the Democratic National Convention wrapped, Trump said of Kennedy, “I have no idea if he’s going to endorse me”.
But he noted that they were going to be in the same state and said, “It’s possible we will be meeting tomorrow and we’ll be discussing it”.
Representatives for Trump’s campaign did not respond to messages about whether Kennedy would be the guest and the Kennedy campaign did not immediately return a message seeking comment if he would be joining Trump.
Kennedy’s Arizona withdrawal, confirmed by a spokesperson for the secretary of state, came less than a week after Kennedy submitted well more than the required number of signatures to appear on the ballot.
His critics raised questions about the validity of some of the signatures after a pro-Kennedy super PAC was heavily involved in his effort to collect them, potentially running afoul of rules against coordination between candidates and independent political groups.
But yesterday, Kennedy, his running mate, Nicole Shanahan and all of their electors submitted notarised letters dated that day, withdrawing from the race in the state.
A year ago, some would have thought it inconceivable that Kennedy — a member of the most storied family in Democratic politics — would work with Trump to keep a Democrat out of the White House.
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Even in recent months, Kennedy has accused Trump of betraying his followers, while Trump has criticised Kennedy as “the most radical left candidate in the race”.
But the two campaigns have ramped up their compliments to each other and engaged in behind-the-scenes discussions in recent weeks, according to those familiar with the efforts.
Both campaigns have spent months accusing Democrats of weaponising the legal system for their own benefit.
And both have hinted publicly that they could be open to joining forces, with the shared goal of limiting the election chances of Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris.
Last month, during the Republican National Convention, Kennedy’s son posted and then quickly deleted a video showing a phone call between Kennedy and Trump, in which the former president appeared to try to talk Kennedy into siding with him.
Talks between the two camps have continued, with close Trump allies quietly lobbying Kennedy to drop out of the race and support the Republican nominee, according to a person familiar with the efforts who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss private conversations.
Trump told CNN on Tuesday that he would “love” an endorsement from Kennedy, whom he called a “brilliant guy”.
He also said he would “certainly” be open to Kennedy playing a role in his administration if Kennedy drops out and endorses him.
Shanahan, also openly suggested on a podcast this week that his campaign might “walk away right now and join forces with Donald Trump”.
While she clarified that she is not personally in talks with Trump, she entertained the idea that Kennedy could join Trump’s administration as secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services.
“I think that Bobby in a role like that would be excellent,” Shanahan said.
“I fully support it. I have high hopes.”
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Kennedy, a son of former Attorney General Robert F Kennedy and a nephew of former President John F Kennedy, hasn’t disclosed the reason for his today remarks, but they come as his campaign’s momentum has slipped.
Kennedy Jr first entered the 2024 presidential race as a Democrat but left the party last fall to run as an independent.
He built an unusually strong base for a third-party bid, fueled in part by anti-establishment voters and vaccine skeptics who have followed his anti-vaccine work since the COVID-19 pandemic.
But he has since faced strained campaign finances and mounting legal challenges, including a recent ruling from a New York judge that he should not appear on the ballot in the state because he listed a “sham” address on nominating petitions.
Recent polls put his support in the mid-single digits.
And it’s unclear if he’d get even that in a general election, since third-party candidates frequently don’t live up to their early poll numbers when voters actually cast their ballots.
There’s some evidence that Kennedy’s staying in the race would hurt Trump more than Harris.
According to a July AP-NORC poll, Republicans were significantly more likely than Democrats to have a favourable view of Kennedy.
And those with a positive impression of Kennedy were significantly more likely to also have a favourable view of Trump (52 per cent) than Harris (37 per cent).
In an interview with MSNBC at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago yesterday, Harris communications director Michael Tyler said her campaign welcomes Kennedy voters should the independent candidate drop out.
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For voters who see Trump as a threat, who are looking for a new way forward, or who want “government to get the hell out of the way of their own personal decisions, there’s a home for you in Kamala Harris’ campaign,” Tyler said.
For Trump, today will mark the end of a week’s worth of battleground state visits in which he has sought to draw attention away from Democrats’ celebration of Harris’ presidential nomination in Chicago.
He traveled to Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Arizona’s US-Mexico border for events focused on his policy proposals on the economy, crime and safety, national security and the border.
He will close out the week today with stops in Las Vegas and Glendale.
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